Turn play and math question
Posted by Fib0nacci
Posted by
Fib0nacci
posted in
Low Stakes
Turn play and math question
CO: CO: $210
BN: BTN: $253.86
SB: SB: $137.30
BB: BB: $236.78
UTG: UTG: $190.74
UTG1: Hero: $934.38
UTG2: MP: $99.26
LJ: MP+1: $196.84
HJ: MP+2: $198
BN: BTN: $253.86
SB: SB: $137.30
BB: BB: $236.78
UTG: UTG: $190.74
UTG1: Hero: $934.38
UTG2: MP: $99.26
LJ: MP+1: $196.84
HJ: MP+2: $198
Preflop
($3.00)
(9 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
Q
UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $9, MP folds, MP folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $7
UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $9, MP folds, MP folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $7
Flop
($21.00)
J
T
K
(2 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $15.74,
UTG calls $15.74
Turn
($52.48)
J
(2 Players)
UTG bets $39.36,
Hero raises to $137.76,
UTG calls $98.40
River
($328.00)
3
(2 Players)
UTG bets $28.24, and is all in,
Hero calls $28.24
Final Pot
UTG has
A
5
Hero has
A
Q
UTG
wins $377.48
I want to know how to calculate the EV play on the turn.
Let's assume that vilain always have a flush draw here or has 25% equity in general then assume he calls if i made a 3X raise on turn even if vilain has only 15BB left but he fold if i shove. To simplify, let's say i call any rivers but he puts the rest of his chip only when he hits.
So how am I suppose to know what is the best play and how to calculate it? It's the forth time this month that this happens to me and i start wondering about just shoving on turn when i think he has 25% equity even if it's probably wrong.
Thanks for you comments
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