TT strange x/r ott

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

TT strange x/r ott

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) CO: $30.00 (Hero)
BN: $28.33
SB: $61.01
BB: $27.84
UTG: $63.34
MP: $25.00
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with T T
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BN raises to $2.60, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.85
Flop ($5.55) K 7 Q
Hero checks, BN bets $1.90, Hero calls $1.90
Turn ($9.35) K 7 Q J
Hero checks, BN bets $3.30, Hero raises to $12.00, BN folds
Final Pot CO wins $15.23
Rake is $0.72

villain is 24/19 3b 11 btn vs co - in last hands he was really active 3bettor.
cb 3b ip 77/65/57
xb + fold single raised pot 67
wtsd 23/wwsf 47/w$sd 49
winrate after 50kh -3bb.

flop:
I assume he'ss a weak player, he's a this type of guy who cannot xb/call his mid walue range I think - looking at his high cb freq and high xb/fold stat. I think he might try to cb one time OTF trying to fold 3rd pairs and he's going to give up OTT. So I decided to XC.

turn:
I wanted to xf on this card, but looking at his sizing ~30% on this runnout is super weak for me. I think he's capped to max. TPTK, nothing better, so I decided to x/r when I can rep. really value heavy range.

Question for you, do you think xc OTF is a mistake?
I think x/r turn is really nice if xc flop is correct decission

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