TT - bluff river

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TT - bluff river

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $16.00
SB: $18.20
BB: $26.65
UTG: $7.56
MP: $18.00 (Hero)
CO: $21.32
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is MP with T T
UTG raises to $0.48, Hero calls $0.48, 4 folds
21/15 AF:40
r1 utg: 16
cbet OOP: 63/48/60
W$SD: 52 WWSF: 49 WTSD:31
Flop ($1.20) 8 7 9
UTG bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48
Turn ($2.16) 8 7 9 2
UTG bets $1.12, Hero calls $1.12
River ($4.40) 8 7 9 2 8
UTG bets $1.92, Hero raises to $5.44
There is my reasoning behind the play - i think he is strongly polarized and he capped himself with these sizings on turn/river. He should play higher with set/AA/KK.
Also after his river bet i dont think im ever good on river.

So i thought that with my well-sized raise he's gonna throw his hand.

Now... tell me why im wrong.

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