Trips in 3bet pot facing river donk jam

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Trips in 3bet pot facing river donk jam

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $50.00 (Hero)
SB: $50.00
BB: $50.00
UTG: $65.72
MP: $125.69
CO: $50.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with J 9
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.00, CO folds, Hero raises to $3.75, 2 folds, MP raises to $9.50, Hero calls $5.75
Flop ($19.75) 7 A 9
MP checks, Hero bets $6.94, MP calls $6.94
A missed c-bet here means his range will be weighted to KK and QQ, plus the occasional AK, AA, and a few give-ups. So I'm turning my hand into a bluff here, targeting KK and QQ. I figure for balance sake I should bet small because that's what I would do with Ax vs a mostly capped range, and I can exert more pressure using bigger sizes on later streets if need be.
Turn ($33.63) 7 A 9 9
MP checks, Hero bets $11.82, MP calls $11.82
Gin turn, now I'm betting for value but still against what I perceive to be a KK, QQ type hand holding on for dear life, hence my small bet size.
River ($57.27) 7 A 9 9 8
MP bets $27.50
Suddenly it becomes clear that he doesn't have KK or QQ. I really don't think he has any bluffs here at all. As far as I can tell, he's got only AA (most likely, given his small 4bet pre) and flushes (mainly Ax hearts, maybe JThh, except I'd expect him to c-bet JThh so that's unlikely). I'm getting a fantastic price, like 4:1 I think, but I just don't think I beat a single hand he plays this way.

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