Trapping a set goes wrong

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Trapping a set goes wrong

Villain is a good player. Plays appropriate ranges and gets money in good. Is not prone to over bluffing and sits more in firmly in the value side of the game tree.

4 handed 1/3 online
effective stack is $350

Hero 10d 10c - opens to $9.
BU- Folds
Villain (SB) - 3bets $27.
BB - Folds
Hero calls $27

Flop $57.
Jd 10c 5h

Villain - bets $37.
Hero - calls $37

Turn $131
Kh

Villain bets $86.
We jam all in.

Villain tables AQ

Brick river

Can we ever get away from this turn? Stacks seem to dictate no. Losing to KK, JJ, AQ. This villain doesn't have Q9 suited or 55 here, and slows down with AJ 99 hands. Beating some KJ and KQ QQ hands he'll be betting some of the time

I think the mistake may have been not raising flop. I think a check here is fine, but I suspect raising and targeting all his overpairs is going to win us the most chips long term.

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