"stress testing" our assumptions - "incorrect flop play"

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"stress testing" our assumptions - "incorrect flop play"

Incorrect flop play: If we flop a set on a pretty wet board, it's unreasonable to c/c a bet oop. So unreasonable that I've read a lot of analysis that completely removes it from our range during the turn analysis. This seems like an opportunity to induce larger mistakes on the turn and river (on favorable runouts). For example, assume villain and hero have 150bb in a 7bbpot: hero is oop with JsJc (or AA) on QhJh7d flop and bets 5bb, villain raises to 15bb with a polarized range of bluffs, strong draws, decent made hands.

 version a) we 3b, we`re racing sometimes and folding out a lot of hands, and some combodraws will call. Being oop in a bloated pot (if he calls 3bet) when a draw comes in gets tricky.

version b)  we just call the flop raise. If the turn misses most draws, we make a weak c/r to induce a thinking player to shove over us with "good odds vs. a normal range" (he's consistently repped a stronger hand and most/all draws missed us on turn). An added benefit of version b is that we don't get into stack decisions on deathcards like Kh,8h as we might if we'd 3b the flop.




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