river play with value against a tight reg

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

river play with value against a tight reg

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players) SB: $55.38 (Hero)
BB: $50.00
UTG: $50.75
UTG+1: $102.85
MP: $56.03
MP+1: $50.00
MP+2: $33.41
CO: $60.03
BN: $50.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with 4 4
3 folds, MP+1 raises to $1.25, MP+2 calls $1.25, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.00, BB folds
MP+2 is really weak, BB isnt agg squeezor, so I decided to call. In addition MP+1 is a tight reg with lower cbet, so we will get to showdown more often..
Flop ($4.25) 5 9 4
Hero checks, MP+1 checks, MP+2 checks
Turn ($4.25) 5 9 4 Q
Hero checks, MP+1 bets $2.50, MP+2 folds, Hero raises to $8.56, MP+1 calls $6.06
Was sort of thinking about the line I wanna take.. I think most of MP+1 FDs are either cbetting the flop or would bet now. Similar apply to his gutters JTs,KJs,KTs which I think might be tempted to bet, but would prob fold to a bet given the player behind still left to act.. I also dont need much of a protection from AK,AJ,AT type of hands.. and possibly might get much value from Qx by x/raising. since KQ/AQ are pure bets and prob even QJs,QTs.
River ($21.37) 5 9 4 Q A
Hero
okay. lets go to the player profile and my notes: Tight reg who is not thin vbetting enough and so far looks like a guy who is also winning in showdown a lot (so I wouldnt bet on some hero calls). That said, this card is really decent for our bluffs. Just wonder how many AcXc he has got. If not many, I would go like 1/2 with my bluffs, since I believe his Qx are folding pretty inelastically.

With value hands, I would either go as small like 1/4 to get called by Qx and raised by AQ, or just overbet shove to target 9 combos of AQ and possibly Q9s?

Not sure if I like to check/raise.. but compared with just shoving here (when only targeting Q9s,AQ) its probably better. Maybe if he would start bet/folding the river with Q9s and AQ, but would call to our overbet shove since it might looks more bluffy than the check/raise move. Plus we might get some additional value from AcXc if he bets these combos, but given our notes regarding his interest in thin vbetting, I wouldnt be relying on that.. I think its correct xb AcXc in his shoes...

40.19$ left OTR

Loading 3 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy