river play with value against a tight reg
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes
river play with value against a tight reg
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players)
SB: $55.38 (Hero)
BB: $50.00
UTG: $50.75
UTG+1: $102.85
MP: $56.03
MP+1: $50.00
MP+2: $33.41
CO: $60.03
BN: $50.00
BB: $50.00
UTG: $50.75
UTG+1: $102.85
MP: $56.03
MP+1: $50.00
MP+2: $33.41
CO: $60.03
BN: $50.00
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is SB with
4
4
, , , , ,
MP+2 is really weak, BB isnt agg squeezor, so I decided to call. In addition MP+1 is a tight reg with lower cbet, so we will get to showdown more often..
Flop
($4.25)
5
9
4
, ,
Turn
($4.25)
5
9
4
Q
, , , ,
Was sort of thinking about the line I wanna take.. I think most of MP+1 FDs are either cbetting the flop or would bet now. Similar apply to his gutters JTs,KJs,KTs which I think might be tempted to bet, but would prob fold to a bet given the player behind still left to act.. I also dont need much of a protection from AK,AJ,AT type of hands.. and possibly might get much value from Qx by x/raising. since KQ/AQ are pure bets and prob even QJs,QTs.
River
($21.37)
5
9
4
Q
A
okay. lets go to the player profile and my notes: Tight reg who is not thin vbetting enough and so far looks like a guy who is also winning in showdown a lot (so I wouldnt bet on some hero calls). That said, this card is really decent for our bluffs. Just wonder how many AcXc he has got. If not many, I would go like 1/2 with my bluffs, since I believe his Qx are folding pretty inelastically.
With value hands, I would either go as small like 1/4 to get called by Qx and raised by AQ, or just overbet shove to target 9 combos of AQ and possibly Q9s?
Not sure if I like to check/raise.. but compared with just shoving here (when only targeting Q9s,AQ) its probably better. Maybe if he would start bet/folding the river with Q9s and AQ, but would call to our overbet shove since it might looks more bluffy than the check/raise move. Plus we might get some additional value from AcXc if he bets these combos, but given our notes regarding his interest in thin vbetting, I wouldnt be relying on that.. I think its correct xb AcXc in his shoes...
With value hands, I would either go as small like 1/4 to get called by Qx and raised by AQ, or just overbet shove to target 9 combos of AQ and possibly Q9s?
Not sure if I like to check/raise.. but compared with just shoving here (when only targeting Q9s,AQ) its probably better. Maybe if he would start bet/folding the river with Q9s and AQ, but would call to our overbet shove since it might looks more bluffy than the check/raise move. Plus we might get some additional value from AcXc if he bets these combos, but given our notes regarding his interest in thin vbetting, I wouldnt be relying on that.. I think its correct xb AcXc in his shoes...
40.19$ left OTR
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