rangeplay cold4b on AK9A

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

rangeplay cold4b on AK9A

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $52.87
SB: $32.02
BB: $45.34 (Hero)
UTG: $30.15
MP: $58.45
CO: $26.32
villain 31/31 over 16 hands
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, BN raises to $2.20, SB folds, Hero raises to $5.30, CO folds, BN calls $3.10
Flop ($11.45) K A 9
Hero checks, BN checks
Turn ($11.45) K A 9 A
Hero checks, BN checks
River ($11.45) K A 9 A 6
Hero checks, BN bets $5.50

I ended up in this river spot trying to figure out whether to bluffcatch or not and started thinking about both of our ranges from there. I couldn't see an opportunity to balance my heavily capped river range. Yes, I will have AA, AK, KK in my range but I'm very likely to bet it myself. At some point I felt weird, thinking about checking the total nuts for three times just to protect my QQ on this river. Isn't this a flop spot where I can just bet everything, given that even my 4b bluffs hit this decently hard?
From there I can still chose to check the total nuts (or QQ) exploitatively, but especially once my opponent is capable of checking back AK on flop/turn or turning TT into a bluff OTR, I feel like I'm better off betting QQ myself OTF?!

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