Raise bluff river on 4 hearts?
Posted by ilares
Posted by ilares posted in High Stakes
Raise bluff river on 4 hearts?
BN: 248.43
SB: 1005
BB: 1449.09 (Hero)
SB: 1005
BB: 1449.09 (Hero)
Preflop
(15)
(3 Players)
Hero was dealt
5
J
BN folds, SB raises to 30, Hero calls 20
BN folds, SB raises to 30, Hero calls 20
so BN is a recreational player, SB in an unknow reg, quite different from others, he like to x/c a lot on flop and turn when he raised preflop, and bet a lot of rivers (since he's quite passive flop & turn i guess)
his stats on 3 ahnded are 46/32 by far, and he opens SB (vs me) 70%, even when i showed him i defend a quite wide range
so vs him J5s is not a fold
his stats on 3 ahnded are 46/32 by far, and he opens SB (vs me) 70%, even when i showed him i defend a quite wide range
so vs him J5s is not a fold
Flop
(65)
A
K
2
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero checks
well he can x/c a lot of Ax and Kx here, i have no equity to barrel, so i check
Turn
(65)
A
K
2
Q
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero checks
i'm not sure i can bet here, he will still x/c a lot of Ax & Kx, but i have some equity and maybe can bluff some hearts
River
(65)
A
K
2
Q
6
(2 Players)
SB bets 38.33,
Hero raises to 101.38
and here things are going interesting, i have a lot more the Jack of heart than him (i think he would bet AJ on the turn) he still has KJ/QJ, but he's a pretty good reg (i saw him overbet river a 4th pair, you don't see this very often) and i think he has a wide bluffing range here
what do you think about the raise?
i need ~55% fold equity
what do you think about the raise?
i need ~55% fold equity
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