Overpair vs c/r, bet & shove

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

Overpair vs c/r, bet & shove

BN: $472
SB: $1000
BB: $1062
UTG: $361.60
UTG1: $387
UTG2: $430
LJ: $1103.02
HJ: $1015 (Hero)
CO: $424.70
Preflop ($15.00) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt Q Q
UTG folds, UTG1 calls $10, UTG2 folds, LJ raises to $40, Hero calls $40, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG1 calls $30
UTG+1 = Fish
LJ = Good reg, 19/15, ROL 32 W$WSF 47, C/R flop 17, 1,2k hands
Flop ($135.00) J 8 6 (3 Players)
UTG1 checks, LJ checks, Hero bets $80, UTG1 folds, LJ raises to $200, Hero calls $120
What is he c/r? Just FD's ? Sets? Two pairs?
Turn ($535.00) J 8 6 3 (2 Players)
LJ bets $300, Hero calls $300
Is he continueing with his semibluff?
River ($1135.00) J 8 6 3 T (2 Players)
LJ bets $563.02, and is all in, Hero folds
Draws didn't arrive and I have to win 23% of times
Final Pot
LJ wins $1132
I can't decide how often he continue semibluffing turn and bluffing river his FD's :(

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