NL50 Top set turned boat BvB 180BB deep
Posted by bdon22
Posted by bdon22 posted in Low Stakes
NL50 Top set turned boat BvB 180BB deep
Villain is 24/21 with a 3-bet of 11.3% and fold to 3-bet of 68%. WWSF 49%. Maybe 500-600 hands or so on villain.
Here are my notes:
backraise KK vs. UTG
3BL 97s ch down BP on AK9
flat 3B w/ 44 deep BvB ch down
flat CR on 852tt fold to turn A (BTN vs SB)
cbet 1B w/ AQss on 886dd deep // bluff catcher 2nd pair in 3B pot // saw me 1/2 bluff river 3flush in 3B pot
What's your play OTT? Check/call the turn and check/call the river or just go for the CRAI? Less than ~PSB remaining but we have the deck pretty crushed here.
I think his range has a lot of draws and obviously the 33 and 1 combo of 44. Possibly the 4 combos of AJo as well. A slowplayed QQ-AA is highly unlikely given his 3-bet of 11.3%
So I think check/call turn and hope a diamond hits OTR and check/call there as well. If it blanks then he might bluff his air. He jams all his boats/quads OTR anyway. But I probably don't get paid by AJ unless an A comes, in which case I should probably donk bet jam to prevent him from making a nitty check-back.
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