NL5 BU vs. UTG: Facing c/r bet bet line with TPMK
Posted by whiteshark
Posted by whiteshark posted in Low Stakes
NL5 BU vs. UTG: Facing c/r bet bet line with TPMK
SB: $13.84
BB: $5.07
UTG: $5.06
MP: $9.69
CO: $5.31
Villain is a regular against which I am playing daily. I love Villain's line here, but I guess that doesn't help me in game. UTG checks flop, as he should do with most of his holdings on boards of Jx and lower. My flop bet targets his medium pairs (TT-66) as well as his Ace high overcards. When UTG check raises, this range should be comprised mainly of overpairs AA-QQ, some AJs, and I guess all the overcards with BDFD. At least the overcards with diamonds will barroll through on the turn.
River play: I recently played quite a lot vs. the GTO+ solution in this spot (UTG raise versus BU cold call). I know that UTG is supposed to overbet all his overpairs and mix in quite some bluffs that have missed flush draws on the river and vs. the solver, this is a snap call. I posted a picture of our calling range on the river below for a very similar board (didn't have the exact same one in my collection). KJs calls 100% of the time in theory.
I am just wondering whether the population of regulars will have enough bluffs here. I am not sure whether he really takes this line with all of his AdKd, AdQd, AdTd, KdQd etc. What is your appoach here?
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