NL30: A7s in HJ

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NL30: A7s in HJ

BN: 44.21
SB: 33.29
BB: 37.40
HJ: 30.25 (Hero)
CO: 29.95
Preflop (0.45) (5 Players)
Hero raises to 0.90, CO calls 0.90, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop (2.25) K J 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets 1.50, CO calls 1.50
Turn (5.25) K J 8 7 (2 Players)

this is my first post here so ... HI GUYS!!!

The open is kinda loose.

Villain is 32/11 3bet 6% (364 hands).

How should we play the turn here?

Do you think this is a good spot to 3barrel ?


Let's say the river is an offsuit 2:

He will call turn and then fold river with: AT,QT,J9,QJ, 6 combos of fd   (this equals about 60 combos)

He will call turn and call river with: AK-3, AJ-9, T9-12, 78-3, KQ-KJ-KT 28, total 56 combos after i made some adjustments like giving him fewer AK because he will 3b some preflop.

His river overall fold is 8/10.

If we bet river 3/4 we need him to fold 42% not taking into account our flush, trips and 2p outs, so the 3 barreling in this spot seems good. What do you think of my analysis ?


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