NL25: bluff 4str8 river vs weak 3barrel by fish?
Posted by ohgodwhy
Posted by ohgodwhy posted in Low Stakes
NL25: bluff 4str8 river vs weak 3barrel by fish?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (5 Players)
BN: $25.00 (Hero)
SB: $18.68
BB: $35.04
UTG: $27.64
CO: $25.68
SB: $18.68
BB: $35.04
UTG: $27.64
CO: $25.68
villain 32/21 over 70 hands
3b: 11 over like 30 samples
3b: 11 over like 30 samples
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
A
2
, , , ,
Flop
($3.10)
A
Q
7
,
Turn
($6.06)
A
Q
7
T
,
River
($13.56)
A
Q
7
T
J
Just wondering if you'd ever consider turning a hand into bluff on this river given his weak sizing. It doesn't have to particularly be this hand but I can't think of many others with better blockers.
I think he could sometimes be incuding with Kx but most of the time I expect him to transmit his hand strength. The only problem I have with this play is that fishes who like to throw out these small 3bets a lot often turn out to be splashy to totally crazy. And he might feel committed to calling it off with AJ because it's a strong hand absolute-wise and he bet with an inducing size.
So, just stay disciplined and fold or is there merit in at least having a narrow bluffing range here?
Curious what you think.
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