NL200z - Play versus Donk R

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NL200z - Play versus Donk R

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $214.19 (Hero)
SB: $218.10
BB: $208.70
UTG: $154.38
MP: $852.76
CO: $242.68
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BN with A Q
3 folds, Hero raises to $5.00, SB folds, BB calls $3.00
Flop ($11.00) A 8 4
BB checks, Hero bets $6.93, BB calls $6.93
Turn ($24.86) A 8 4 9
BB checks, Hero bets $17.81, BB calls $17.81
River ($60.48) A 8 4 9 Q
BB bets $42.90, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins $57.76
Rake is $2.72

Vilan is one of top reg on NL200 zoom. WWSF 49 W$SD 49 Aqq Freq R 32 %
I think that this is good play for value, so definitely I suspect that my opponent play this way Asx.
I wonder if he bleff in this spot.
I think this could be more profitable for him compere to x. If he has weak Ax when will be x, x R he win pot very rare 20 % max. So EV is 12 $
When he change hand for blef and I fold for ex 60 % EV donk is 15 $. So i must fold epr >55 % to give him profit by donk with blef

Do you think he see a lot fold equity to blef in this spot this way? what is your play?

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