NL200: Overpair vs. Shortstack Fish

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NL200: Overpair vs. Shortstack Fish

BN: $399.20
SB: $201
BB: $200
UTG: $434.72
HJ: $244.84 (Hero)
CO: $111.30
CO is not a good player
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 9
UTG raises to $6, Hero calls $6, CO calls $6, BN calls $6, SB calls $5, BB folds
Flop ($32.00) 2 2 8 (5 Players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $15, CO calls $15, BN folds, SB folds, UTG folds
Decided to stab here for protection/thin value vs. weaker pairs. I don't think I need to bet much bigger than this with my strong hands as well since not too many people can call on this board.
Turn ($62.00) 2 2 8 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets $20, CO raises to $40
Classic balugawhale spot. Given how many players were in the hand OTF he probably folds backdoor SD/FD type hands OTF, making his range a lot stronger on this turn.

I think he'd just call again with a weak 8x or 77, 33-55 here. Minraise looks suspiciously strong. Since he's a fishy player he probably has more suited 2x in his range than most.

I hate folding this but I feel like calling and facing a river ship is gonna be gross on any runout, and if I jam I'm never gonna see 8x call me.

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