NL200 Call, fold, or CRAI?
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Mid Stakes
NL200 Call, fold, or CRAI?
BN: $99
SB: $207
BB: $235.45 (Hero)
UTG: $327.58
HJ: $202.10
CO: $200
SB: $207
BB: $235.45 (Hero)
UTG: $327.58
HJ: $202.10
CO: $200
HJ is 26/18 over 509 hands. F3B 27%. Flop c-bet 63%. AFq 31/49/36. WWSF 34%
CO is 21/17 over 303 hands. AFq of 39/38/55 WWSF 48%
CO is 21/17 over 303 hands. AFq of 39/38/55 WWSF 48%
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
9
UTG folds, HJ raises to $5.40, CO calls $5.40, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $3.40
UTG folds, HJ raises to $5.40, CO calls $5.40, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $3.40
I don't know if I should have squeezed this or not, but HJ's low F3B of 27% made me decide to just call instead.
Flop
($17.20)
6
4
8
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ checks,
CO bets $10,
Hero calls $10,
HJ raises to $25,
CO folds,
Hero calls $15
I don't know what the best line to take on this flop is, tbh. I think donking might be a viable option. Check/raising is certainly overplaying our hand here, although vs. CO's small 10/17 stab, that might not be a terrible idea since so many turn cards could be bad for us.
As played I decided to just call. I think this might be a losing play since many times I will be forced to check/fold my hand on later streets as I am OOP.
HJ decides to make a small CR and it looks like CO was just taking a stab. At this point I'm getting 4:1 which seems like a good price. If he's doing this with a FD, I think I have odds to call. But again I'm OOP and one of my 9's is tainted. Not sure if I should have just folded here or continued onward.
As played I decided to just call. I think this might be a losing play since many times I will be forced to check/fold my hand on later streets as I am OOP.
HJ decides to make a small CR and it looks like CO was just taking a stab. At this point I'm getting 4:1 which seems like a good price. If he's doing this with a FD, I think I have odds to call. But again I'm OOP and one of my 9's is tainted. Not sure if I should have just folded here or continued onward.
Turn
($77.20)
6
4
8
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $50
I pick up an OESD. At this point if villain has an overpair, it's likely I might be able to make him fold if I CRAI. And if he has a FD, I might also have him beat. I don't really see what straights he could have that make the tiny CR OTF. But then again the CR and bet again OTT is a sign of strength, so I'm not sure how much FE I have here.
WWYD? Call? Fold? CRAI?
WWYD? Call? Fold? CRAI?
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