NL100::calling turn with 99
Posted by KerryWoods
Posted by
KerryWoods
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100::calling turn with 99
BN: $112.89 (Hero)
SB: $100
BB: $54.50
HJ: $100
CO: $85.83
SB: $100
BB: $54.50
HJ: $100
CO: $85.83
Preflop
($1.50)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
9
9
HJ raises to $3, CO folds, Hero calls $3, SB folds, BB folds
HJ raises to $3, CO folds, Hero calls $3, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($7.50)
8
3
J
(2 Players)
HJ bets $4.58,
Hero calls $4.58
Turn
($16.66)
8
3
J
7
(2 Players)
HJ bets $11,
Hero calls $11
River
($38.66)
8
3
J
7
2
(2 Players)
HJ checks,
Hero checks
Final Pot
is 48. his
utg opening range is 17 pct.
assuming he cbets with ~80 pct of his
range on this board, this gives him a range of
{88+,33,A2s+,KJs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,AJo+,KJo,KdQc,KdQh,KdQs},
against which i have 56% equity. that seems like too much to fold, and
raising here seems pretty bad, so i call. standard, right?
the turn gives
me a GSSD to go with my pair and FD. if villain checks to me, i feel
like the right play is to check it bad.but
villain bets again, and hes certainly not betting turn with 100% of the
range with which he bet the flop; if he was, that would be 151
combinations, and i would have 53% equity. but if he only bet 50% on the
turn, that would be about 75 hand combinations, or something like
{JJ+,88,33,KJs,QJs,KJo,AdKc,AhKd,AsKd,AcKd,AdKd,AdKh,AdQh,AdQd,AhQd,AdQc,AdQs,AcQd,AsQd,AhJd,AsJd,AcJd,AdJd,AdJh,AdJs,AdJc,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad8d,Ad7d,Ad6d,Ad5d,Ad4d,Ad3d,Ad2d,KdQc,KdQh,KdQd,KdQs,JdTd,TdTs,TdTc,ThTs,ThTc,TdTh,Td9d,9d8d,8d7d,7d6d,6d5d,AdKs},
against which i have only 29% equity.
therefore, does that make this
turn a standard fold?
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