NL100 Value bet river or let villain bluff?
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100 Value bet river or let villain bluff?
BN: $115.25
SB: $102.50
BB: $365.79 (Hero)
UTG: $47.60
HJ: $137.81
CO: $114.31
SB: $102.50
BB: $365.79 (Hero)
UTG: $47.60
HJ: $137.81
CO: $114.31
MP is 18/15 over 137 hands, seems like a solid TAG
BTN is completely unknown
BTN is completely unknown
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
T
UTG folds, HJ raises to $3, CO folds, BN calls $3, SB folds, Hero calls $2
UTG folds, HJ raises to $3, CO folds, BN calls $3, SB folds, Hero calls $2
Good pot odds to call, I don't think squeezing is good here vs. MP's 18/15 range plus we are slightly deeper than 100BB.
Flop
($9.50)
T
3
7
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $7.26,
BN calls $7.26,
Hero calls $7.26
Not sure if I have a check raising range here. Maybe 98s or 54s as some bluffs to balance sets/T7s?
Turn
($31.28)
T
3
7
3
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ checks,
BN bets $15,
Hero calls $15,
HJ folds
Good turn for me especially after MP checks. # of sets on this board is heavily discounted because I have a T and the turn is a 3. I think I have the best hand here a large % of the time.
BTN bets 1/2 which could be for value with one of the very few boats or for protection with a weaker K and maybe 99/88. I think he might also take a shot here with 98s but would likely bet a bit larger to get more folds.
BTN bets 1/2 which could be for value with one of the very few boats or for protection with a weaker K and maybe 99/88. I think he might also take a shot here with 98s but would likely bet a bit larger to get more folds.
River
($61.28)
T
3
7
3
3
(2 Players)
Now we're never folding but how to get max value? 99/88 will check behind here but 98 might bluff.
I think a small 1/3 to 1/2 pot sized bet would be best to get value from worse boats.
Thoughts?
I think a small 1/3 to 1/2 pot sized bet would be best to get value from worse boats.
Thoughts?
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