NL100 AxKh on 4Q8 monoflop SBvsBU 3bp
Posted by Anom1c
Posted by Anom1c posted in Low Stakes
NL100 AxKh on 4Q8 monoflop SBvsBU 3bp
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players)
MP: $100.00
CO: $497.80
BN: $100.00
SB: $107.77 (Hero)
BB: $117.29
UTG: $100.00
CO: $497.80
BN: $100.00
SB: $107.77 (Hero)
BB: $117.29
UTG: $100.00
Preflop
($1.50)
Hero is SB with
A
K
, , , ,
Lag reg
Flop
($19.00)
4
Q
8
, ,
I like xc here because I have sdv and like to protect my checking range
Turn
($39.04)
4
Q
8
J
, ,
River
($77.04)
4
Q
8
J
2
, ,
Calling might be too loose on the river
Final Pot
BN
wins and shows a straight flush, Queen high.
SB lost and shows a flush, King high.
BN wins $198.00
Rake is $3.00
SB lost and shows a flush, King high.
BN wins $198.00
Rake is $3.00
It's probably a fold OTR. I expect BU to have all Axhh(7), AhTo-AhJo(8) and probably some AhQo & weaker Ahxo. So that's at least 15 value combo's. I need at least 44.6% equity to call on the river, right?
How many bluff combo's does he need to have on the river to make this a call?
Can we expect an unknown lag regular to bluff often enough?
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