NL100 AA vs. fish
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100 AA vs. fish
BN: $109.38
SB: $244.84
BB: $107.15
UTG: $115.38 (Hero)
HJ: $209.83
CO: $101.50
SB: $244.84
BB: $107.15
UTG: $115.38 (Hero)
HJ: $209.83
CO: $101.50
Villain is 25/1 over 69 hands. WWSF of 65%, AFq 24/26/50
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
Hero raises to $3, HJ folds, CO folds, BN calls $3, SB folds, BB folds
Hero raises to $3, HJ folds, CO folds, BN calls $3, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($7.50)
3
4
J
(2 Players)
Hero bets $5.50,
BN calls $5.50
Very wide range of hands villain can call with. I'd even say QQ/KK are in his range on this flop given his PFR of 1%
Turn
($18.50)
3
4
J
6
(2 Players)
Hero bets $14,
BN calls $14
Must keep betting for value/protection. I would expect villain to raise this turn with his sets/2-pair due to how draw heavy the board is.
River
($46.50)
3
4
J
6
3
(2 Players)
Hero bets $44.50,
BN raises to $86.88, and is all in,
Hero calls $42.38
River 3 removes some sets from his range (although I think he'd raise turn with most). Can't see him making it to the river with a 3 in his range either.
I block the Ac but he still has every other busted club draw in his range. He could also be over valuing AJ/QQ/KK or spazzing out with something dumb like 88.
What do you guys think of my river sizing? I just potted it, because I think he never folds anything close to TP anyway.
OTOH he is a fish, and getting raised by a fish really sucks. But this one seems aggressive enough to do it with more bluffs than for value due to his WWSF of 65% and River AFq 50% over a smallish sample.
I block the Ac but he still has every other busted club draw in his range. He could also be over valuing AJ/QQ/KK or spazzing out with something dumb like 88.
What do you guys think of my river sizing? I just potted it, because I think he never folds anything close to TP anyway.
OTOH he is a fish, and getting raised by a fish really sucks. But this one seems aggressive enough to do it with more bluffs than for value due to his WWSF of 65% and River AFq 50% over a smallish sample.
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