NL10 river overbet

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL10 river overbet

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $11.66
SB: $4.79
BB: $10.00
UTG: $13.14 (Hero)
MP: $10.31
CO: $10.18
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is UTG with T A
Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 4 folds
Flop ($0.87) 4 K 5
Hero bets $0.49, MP calls $0.49
Turn ($1.85) 4 K 5 K
Hero checks, MP checks
River ($1.85) 4 K 5 K 3
Hero bets $4.00

No reads on villain, seems fairly reggy.

I thought this would be a good spot to overbet, since my betting range consists of hands that were trapping on the turn, decent pocket pairs and bluffs, and I expect him to bet 44 and 55 100% on the turn, fold 33 on the flop and bet most of the time with Kx on the turn as his Kx combos (which he doesn't have many of flatting UTG raise from MP) are fairly strong (some people flat AK vs UTG here I think and will always bet turn).

I block slow played AK and TT which is about his strongest pocket pair, and I can play 33, 44, 55 or some Kx this way.

What do people think of overbetting here? Could I include vbets as thin as TT/JJ?

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