NL 50 range advantage bluff?

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL 50 range advantage bluff?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) SB: $53.25
BB: $81.74
UTG: $28.63
MP: $107.04
CO: $111.02
BN: $55.75 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with 5 5
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB folds, BB calls $0.75
Flop ($2.75) A K 2
BB checks, Hero bets $0.86, BB calls $0.86
Turn ($4.47) A K 2 T
BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, BB calls $3.50
River ($11.47) A K 2 T 3
BB checks, Hero bets $12.54, BB calls $12.54
Final Pot BB wins and shows two pair, Aces and Tens.
BN lost and shows a pair of Fives.
BB wins $34.72
Rake is $1.83

Analyse about the river
I think i have fold equity for the following combos:
KQ,KJ = 24 combos
A9/A8/A7/A6/A5/A4 = 72 combos but question is how much % he will fold against my overbet. I think he we will fold 75% off these Ax, or do u think this percentage is way too high?

combos he will call:
A2/A3/AT KT and 22 = 39combos

Can someone tell me, how many combos does he have to fold if we know he will call 39 combos? Does it mean we need to let him fold 39 combos? If that is true, I think the bluff is alright because we know KQ and KJ are 100 % fold, and i think Ax one pairs are at least 50% folds for him. So that would be 24 + 36 = 60 combos that he will fold, should be engouh right?

On the other hand if i do this 3 barrel always with my low pocket pairs, I will overbluff way to much? Probably better to do this with hands like Qx and Jx for some straight equity and block equity.

What would u guys do/advice?

Loading 9 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy