nl50 rate my fps

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

nl50 rate my fps

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $57.06
SB: $52.72 (Hero)
BB: $58.40
UTG: $120.78
MP: $50.25
CO: $85.19
21/17/2 over 600 hands. Fold to 3b IP 75%. RFI CO 29%. Fold to cb in 3bp f/t 50 (2/4)/100 (1/1). WTSD 24, WSD 71, WWSF 50. 4b 0 so far.

Looks like absolutely std conservative reg.
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with 8 T
2 folds, CO raises to $1.25, BN folds, Hero raises to $4.25, BB folds, CO calls $3.00
my sizing is a missclick, but w/e. I dont think I have a flatting range here: bb is squeezing a lot and CO seems to be overfolding to 3bets somewhat.

Flop ($9.00) 6 9 J
Hero bets $4.50, CO calls $4.50
Turn ($18.00) 6 9 J J
Hero checks, CO bets $9.79, Hero calls $9.79
I think there are two possible obvious strats:
1) bet 66 99 AJ, T8cc, QTcc, KQcc AXcc, xC QQ+ and worse Jx+ some draws (question is, which ones and how many), xF the rest

2) check my whole range. x/jam everything I'd be betting in the first strat and keep similar xC range.

I widened xC range because I thought that a lot of rivers are scare cards for his range and its easy for me to show insane strange/try to fold out AJ on some rivers. I also assume that he doesnt flat QJ, or at least QJo preflop, which keeps my outs at least a little bit alive (even though I could be dead alreadY)
River ($37.58) 6 9 J J K
Hero bets $34.18 and is all in
I planned to do this on K, A and low clubs.
I think its reasonable to assume that my KK and KJ combos would donkjam, I'd expect him to xb Jx on this river. He also cant entirely rule out weirdly played 99 etc..and most importantly, I think that line looks really strong.

Im expecting him to fold even 66 and 99 on this particular river. He might bluffcatch with AJ though, since he blocks my valuecombos with that hand.
Downside is, I dont block anything. He can also talk himself into thinking that Im bad enough to valueshove QT here, in which case he is always calling boats, but is probably folding all Jx.

is this insane?
thanks

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