Is this bluff sound?
Posted by GMjunior
Posted by GMjunior posted in Low Stakes
Is this bluff sound?
GG Poker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
Hero (BTN): 145.4 BB
SB: 234.6 BB
BB: 171.8 BB
UTG: 199.8 BB
MP: 232.2 BB
CO: 103 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 2s 5s
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.6 BB, SB calls 2.2 BB, BB calls 1.6 BB
Flop : (7.8 BB, 3 players) 2c 6s 4d
SB checks, BB bets 2.6 BB, Hero calls 2.6 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB
Turn : (15.6 BB, 3 players) Qs
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 23.4 BB, fold, BB calls 23.4 BB
River : (62.4 BB, 2 players) 8h
BB checks, Hero bets 116.8 BB and is all-in, BB calls 116.8 BB
Hero shows 2s 5s (One Pair, Twos)
(Pre 32%, Flop 36%, Turn 27%)
BB shows Qh 2h (Two Pair, Queens and Twos)
(Pre 68%, Flop 64%, Turn 73%)
BB wins 291.6 BB
Ok so obviously pre is slightly loose but players don't defend very aggressively especially from the BB so I'm trying to expand my opening range slightly. I'm guessing being deeper makes this worse given that reverse implied odds of flush over flush increases.
I was going to raise flop originally but think I slightly out-thought myself here thinking that if I actually had a hand I would flat to let the SB float but given the board is quite wet I think I'd be inclined to raise here especially given that the majority of them are overpairs. Calling I think should be fine especially with sets or straights. But I probably am flatting 5-7s for the same reason as I did in hand which is relevant later.
Turn I think I have quite a natural bluff but at the greater SPR maybe I want to use stronger flush draws as overbets and maybe opt for 50-75% here?
River I have good blockers to value but maybe I also block some give ups. 2x spades or 5x spades combo draws. Still I think I basically need to follow through here given that I'll need quite a few bluffs for the size and I have a decent amount of sets and straights I think. Would be interested on some input.
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