How do _you_ decide when to bluffcatch and when not to? Toppair 3b pot OOP
Posted by DatpKay
Posted by DatpKay posted in Mid Stakes
How do _you_ decide when to bluffcatch and when not to? Toppair 3b pot OOP
SB: $313.27
BB: $590.88
UTG: $227.54
MP: $246.88
CO: $253.09 (Hero)
So Situation is as follows:
1,7k hands on villain - standardish regular with loose-agressive tendencies
3bets hero 21% on the BU so far (and 13% overall)
2,9agr
5.9 TOT 5b range
The high 3bet and high 5b% so far make me think that flatting pre here is best and folding I think is definitely too weak
Flop clear, even though there probably might be arguments for a checkraise given Equitydistribution and small cbet size
Turn easy!?
River meh and I am really unsure what data points I should use here to determine my call frequency / calling hands.
I probably never have AK here given his preflop tendencies... same goes for JJ, though for some reason I like flatting with JJ here a lot and I would certainly get to the river with it.
Then I have 66
Good thing is I unblock all FDs
Bad thing is 57 comes in
I need 36% equity:
and this is what I kind of could come up with...
Board: Kd6dJh4c3h
Equity Win Tie
CO 35.14% 35.14% 0.00% { KsQc }
BU 64.86% 64.86% 0.00% { KK+, JJ, KJs, 64s, AdQd, AdTd, QdTd, Td9d, Td8d, 9d8d, Ad7d, 8d7d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, AKo, KJo, QdTs }
...which already seems to be kind of a stretch, doesn't it... needing him to shove almost every diamond combo every time....
In game I was kind of like "well with what better hand do I ever end up here?"...
But the analysis seems to indicate that especially against a loosish 3better with more 64, 57 going on that we probably have to wait for AK/KJ/JJ here to call!?
Loading 5 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.