HJ vs BB - KJo on K42dd vs check raise.
Posted by Shaun Pauwels
Posted by Shaun Pauwels posted in Low Stakes
HJ vs BB - KJo on K42dd vs check raise.
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $25.47
SB: $29.12
BB: $29.21
UTG: $25.45
MP: $28.73 (Hero)
CO: $27.49
SB: $29.12
BB: $29.21
UTG: $25.45
MP: $28.73 (Hero)
CO: $27.49
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is MP with
J
K
, , ,
Opening range 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KJo+
Flop
($1.60)
2
4
K
, , ,
I will be cbetting range here but due to ranges being tighter the earlier I go in position my cbet size tends to go towards half pot a bit more. GTO+ did cbet 75% at this sizing so maybe I would need to size down. Might be a mistake. Not folding when BB raises with a king.
Villain reps 44 22 and maybe K4s, K2 which I would find unlikely vs a 3x open. Could be villain also does this with some Kx vs range cbets.
Continue range 99+, 44, 22, AKs, A5s-A2s, KTs+, AdQd, AcQc, AdJd, AcJc, QdJd, AdTd, AcTc, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Ac9c, Td9d, Ad8d, Ac8c, 9d8d, Ad7d, Ac7c, 8d7d, Ad6d, Ac6c, 7d6d, AKo, KJo+
Villain reps 44 22 and maybe K4s, K2 which I would find unlikely vs a 3x open. Could be villain also does this with some Kx vs range cbets.
Continue range 99+, 44, 22, AKs, A5s-A2s, KTs+, AdQd, AcQc, AdJd, AcJc, QdJd, AdTd, AcTc, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Ac9c, Td9d, Ad8d, Ac8c, 9d8d, Ad7d, Ac7c, 8d7d, Ad6d, Ac6c, 7d6d, AKo, KJo+
Turn
($6.60)
2
4
K
7
,
Still not folding. The 7 does nothing and sizing makes villain polarized. My hand is a bluffcatcher here. GTO+ itself folds KJo at about 20% here, not caring about having Jd or not.
Continue range KK+, 44, 22, AKs, A4s, A2s, KTs+, 65s, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, 8d7d, Ad6d, 7d6d, Ad5d, Ad3d, AKo, KJo+
Continue range KK+, 44, 22, AKs, A4s, A2s, KTs+, 65s, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, 8d7d, Ad6d, 7d6d, Ad5d, Ad3d, AKo, KJo+
River
($17.60)
2
4
K
7
6
,
So we have a bluffcatcher spot. Villain is repping very thin here. 44, 22 and 76dd are the few value hands I consider villain having here. Given those are only 7 combo's it becomes very easy for villain to overbluff. As soon as there are 4 bluffs my hand becomes profitable to call.
If we consider QdJd, JdTd, Td9d, 9d8d, 8d7d, Ah5h, As5s, Ac5c, 6d5d, Ah3h, As3s, Ac3c as possible bluff hands then villain should only select 1/3rd of these for my call to become profitable. It's likely villain has more than just these.
GTO+ calls with KJo with no diamond at a 70% frequency. But in the analysis villain never bluffs with diamonds but has A2s hands in this line. Which makes sense from a solver standpoint but I doubt people at these stakes have that hand and are bluffing it.
If we consider QdJd, JdTd, Td9d, 9d8d, 8d7d, Ah5h, As5s, Ac5c, 6d5d, Ah3h, As3s, Ac3c as possible bluff hands then villain should only select 1/3rd of these for my call to become profitable. It's likely villain has more than just these.
GTO+ calls with KJo with no diamond at a 70% frequency. But in the analysis villain never bluffs with diamonds but has A2s hands in this line. Which makes sense from a solver standpoint but I doubt people at these stakes have that hand and are bluffing it.
I always considered this spot to be an underbluffed line. But after doing my initial analysis I realised how easy it is for villain to be overbluffing here. So I feel like I just have to call so many made hands. A2 and A4 might be more solid candidates because of set blockers, assuming villain never shows up here with KX.
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