Have i assessed this correctly?
Posted by darren2607
Posted by
darren2607
posted in
Low Stakes
Have i assessed this correctly?
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $10.00
SB: $10.70
BB: $10.00
UTG: $15.26 (Hero)
MP: $15.22
CO: $13.32
SB: $10.70
BB: $10.00
UTG: $15.26 (Hero)
MP: $15.22
CO: $13.32
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
A
8
, , ,
27 hands on villain, 22/19. No 3 bets from 13 opportunities
I would have his 3 betting range as TT+, pretty much all Axs, a few suited and unsuited broadways
I would have his 3 betting range as TT+, pretty much all Axs, a few suited and unsuited broadways
Flop
($2.01)
T
T
Q
,
Turn
($2.01)
T
T
Q
Q
, ,
River
($4.61)
T
T
Q
Q
8
, ,
Final Pot
MP wins $4.40
Rake is $0.21
Rake is $0.21
River is a difficult spot, villain slight overbets pot. Initial thought is he is trying to steal a split pot.
However, he has uncapped range that can include TT+, Q and T Broadways. The only hand i am beating is KJ. Essentially i am hoping to catch a split pot.
Reviewing it post-game, to break even on a split pot, i need like 67% equity. On equilab my exact hand has 40% equity against my estimate of villain's range.
I think therefore fold is correct here? Doesn't feel good to fold what feels like an attempt to steal the split pot, but i think given his uncapped range i assessed it correctly?
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