GTO+ vs pool

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

GTO+ vs pool

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $18.80
SB: $18.58 (Hero)
BB: $20.51
UTG: $16.02
MP: $17.88
CO: $14.47
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is SB with J J
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.48, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.92, BB folds, MP calls $1.44
Flop ($4.12) K 6 9
Hero bets $1.30, MP calls $1.30
Turn ($6.72) K 6 9 3
Hero checks, MP bets $4.24, Hero calls $4.24
River ($15.20) K 6 9 3 K
Hero checks, MP bets $10.40 and is all in, Hero folds

Hey guys,

been running a sim on this one today and had some questionable conclusions about this spot:
This is the descisonmatrix OTR:

Relying on GTO+ my fold here is a massive mistake costing me 64BB/100

Some sidnotes about this matrix:
1) Solver XF every JJ-combo without hearts OTT, but calls every QQ-combo. I guess this is esp. because QQ cooler JJ in this spot often?
2) AA XF OTR 100% because solver X/jams the combos with heart OTT (as he does KK).
3) GTO XF most of QQ-combos (even with a heart) OTR (same reason as 2 maybe because we expect to checkdown JJ IP always? This is kind of confusing to me

--> So esp. JJ with heart seem the choice of a herocall for the solver.
IMO this K OTR is a really bad card to bluff for Villain. So might my XF OTR still be fine eplowise for my pools (NL16-50)?

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