Call or find a fold here?
Posted by stanier101
Posted by stanier101 posted in Low Stakes
Call or find a fold here?
Hero (CO): $10.96
BTN: $14.10 (VPIP: 30.41, PFR: 25.68, 3Bet Preflop: 8.06, Hands: 153)
SB: $11.05 (VPIP: 20.36, PFR: 17.66, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 338)
BB: $10.31 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 124)
UTG: $10.15 (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 10.87, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 47)
MP: $13.21 (VPIP: 26.53, PFR: 22.45, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 51)
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Kh Jh
fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.28, BTN raises to $0.85, fold, BB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.57
Suppose I could just pass here if I think button's range dominants me, which obviously it doesn't. Getting 3.5:1 seems a fine call with a hand that can flop super well. BB's range looks medium pair heavy.
Flop : ($2.60, 3 players) 3c 8h Js
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks
Don't see a reason to donk. When button checks back rarely does he have us beat. Not many players at 10nl are protecting check back ranges here they are always betting QQ+ imo.
Turn : ($2.60, 3 players) 5h
BB bets $1.90, Hero calls $1.90, fold
Pick up hearts, cant see a reason to raise. If I do I narrow his range to sets+ maybe ax hearts and some bluffs but I doubt it.
River : ($6.40, 2 players) Kc
BB bets $6.11, Hero calls $6.11
Villans sizing is super spew. He's like 'I was a nit pre flop now I want max value from JJ or 88'. Maybe 33/55. I just cant really find any bluff combos he has here. playing 14/11 over a decent sample just seems like this is always a value hand which I cant beat. I have to be right 33% of the time here to B/E so I just hit the call button.
Should this be a fold if I cant find bluffs or worse value hands?
BB shows Jc Jd (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 64%, Flop 96%, Turn 82%)
Hero mucks Kh Jh (Two Pair, Kings and Jacks)
(Pre 36%, Flop 4%, Turn 18%)
BB wins $17.78
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