AQ @ 25

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

AQ @ 25

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $65.24
SB: $34.75
BB: $25.00
UTG: $25.35 (Hero)
MP: $28.13
CO: $25.00
vs reg
23/17
CC MPvEP - 12
3b MPvEP - 2

FCB F/T/R - 58/24/23
WTSD/W$SD - 39/60
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG with Q A
Hero raises to $0.80, MP calls $0.80, 4 folds
Flop ($1.95) A 2 K
Hero bets $1.33, MP calls $1.33
A great flop for me, cause I expect him to 3b AK vs me almost always, and A2s isn't in his CC range - 22 is also unlikely, so my plan here is to b/b/b.
Turn ($4.61) A 2 K 7
Hero bets $3.60, MP calls $3.60
I don't really want to check, cause he might call w/ hands that otherwise XB. And he doesn't really bet vs missed CB (40%) + his ftCB ott/otr is really low.
River ($11.81) A 2 K 7 5
Hero bets $19.62 and is all in, MP calls $19.62
Alright, so here is where it gets interesting for me. The reasons why I shoved are:
-he doesn't have A7/A5/A2, AK and 22 are also unlikely,
-he's pretty capped on this texture,
-I think that he might perceive me as a bluff-heavy player (although it's just a speculation)
-diamonds and some gutshots missed
-his ftCB is pretty low and his WTSD is relatively high

Thoughts? ;)

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