AK

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

AK

BN: $15.74
SB: $37.23
BB: $28.88
UTG: $25.35
HJ: $46.70
CO: $25 (Hero)

30/25 (481); RFI(ep) 25 ; WTSD 20 / W$SD 36
CB flop - 72% ; no reads about fold to float etc.
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
UTG raises to $0.75, HJ folds, Hero calls $0.75, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
pretty std flat for me - I typically don't have a 3b range vs EP/MP, unless vs a fish/bad reg.
Flop ($1.85) 9 J T (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.30, UTG calls $1.30
I don't expect my A-high to be good particularly often, so I've decided to turn it into a bluff. Given that he cbets 72%, I don't expect him to get fancy with XR this board all of the sudden, especially because it would look soooo strong given he opens from UTG.

Anyway, my plan is to triple most runouts.
Turn ($4.45) 9 J T 5 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.20, UTG calls $3.20
River ($10.85) 9 J T 5 5 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $13.20, UTG calls $13.20
So I've decided to make an overbet here - I thought that he's unlikely to raise a flush (that he decided to play this way - probably AKhh/AQhh/98hh/A9hh?) for value on a paired board, and unlikely to call me with and TP/OvP (I suppose) as my triple barreling range on this runout is so damn strong.

Thoughts about this one?

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