99 turned set vs recreational player

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99 turned set vs recreational player

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $38.19 (Hero)
SB: $28.20
BB: $48.70
UTG: $25.00
MP: $39.78
CO: $29.03
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BN with 9 9
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.62, CO folds, Hero calls $0.62, SB raises to $2.67, BB folds, MP folds, Hero calls $2.05
Flop ($6.21) 4 8 4
SB bets $3.67, Hero calls $3.67
Turn ($13.55) 4 8 4 9
SB bets $6.86, Hero calls $6.86
River ($27.27) 4 8 4 9 7
SB checks, Hero bets $15.00

I feel like i should raise this turn vs a fish. Sure there is a chance he tripple barrels ako or sometimes hits a or k on river, but dont you think there is a big chance that he will checkfold on scary rivers? If he has jj or tt when an ace or k drops ill likely get less value aswell. He played a tourney and one zoom table that how i knew hes probably bad.

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