UTG is 22/17/4 over 60 hands and opens 57%(4/7) from UTG.

I feel like this is flop that will get checked around sometimes which would be a disaster so at the time I felt like I needed to lead. As I think about it now, I feel UTG will have lots of over pairs and flush draws he will bet and in which I could go for the x/r which is probably the superior option. But if UTG has 2 broadways even with backdoor hearts or diamonds I feel he would check. I'm curious how often UTG or MP will check this board however which is my main question OTF.

As played, I think checking here is good because if UTG has a flush draw I would want him to stab here or maybe if he has a overpair he will bet here sometimes but I think overpair might raise flop? Also if he did bet I think I would just call hoping he hits his flush OTR? Or do I hope he's betting his overpair and go for x/r now?

As played I felt like I should've checked here again to go for x/r because he's going to bet his overpair on this safe river and if he missed his flush draw I feel he would try and bluff me off hands like JT, 56s, T8s, etc.