5NL - KK facing turn check/raise and river shove
Posted by Rudabega
Posted by Rudabega posted in Low Stakes
5NL - KK facing turn check/raise and river shove
CO: 102.8 BB
BTN: 38.8 BB
SB: 137.2 BB
BB: 147.4 BB
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 188.2 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Kc Kh
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop : (12 BB, 4 players) Ts 5h 7d
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 7 BB, BTN calls 7 BB, fold, BB calls 7 BB
No reads on any of these players Seems like a fairly safe flop, only thing to really be scared of I think is TT, 77, 55, possibly some T7s from BB. I expect to get called here by Tx, 86s, 98s, possibly 98o if anyone played it preflop, its possible I might get some calls from random pocket pairs, and sometimes 87s, 76s, 65s, A7s, A5s as well, I see that a lot even multiway like this at my stakes, so I believe its a clear cbet for value.
Turn : (33 BB, 3 players) 6d
BB checks, Hero bets 16 BB, fold, BB raises to 48 BB, Hero calls 32 BB
Not the best card, but not the worst. Tx is likely still calling, 98s however makes a straight as well as any 98o villain possibly could have. 76s made 2pair if it continued, as well as 65s, I'm not sure if villain is calling preflop with 98o, so I would say I'm generally ahead of JTs, QTs, KTs, ATs, ATo, KTo, making me ahead of 24combos, losing to 9 combos excluding 98o, so approx 14 since we're unsure if he is playing 98o. if villain doesn't x/r any combos on the flop we're now losing to 25 combos about, but I'm not sure villain would never raise for value on the flop, so that makes this a thin value bet I believe, Its also possible he has QTo or JTo in his continuing range making it a much better value bet. When I get raised I'm very uncertain of what to do here. I guess its possible villain could also have called with a BDFD/OESD and overs given his price on the flop. QdJd, KdQd, KdJd, which would make up his only bluff combos. Am I supposed to just fold on this turn outright?
River : (129 BB, 2 players) 9c
BB bets 89.4 BB and is all-in, Hero?
River I guess if I think the only 3 bluffs are diamond draws I have to call off getting 4:1? It still doesn't seem great, which makes me just think I should have folded the turn in the first place. The only thing about folding here is TT, 77, and AA are the only hands I could have from my UTG range that are stronger than KK here. Is KK the line for folding the turn and AA continues and folds the river? or KK a call on the turn and fold on the river?
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