50NL AQs Backdoor Equity vs. Double Donk Lead
Posted by bdon22
Posted by bdon22 posted in Low Stakes
50NL AQs Backdoor Equity vs. Double Donk Lead
Pre-flop raise was to $1.50 not $2.00 (HH messed up) everything else is ok.
I don't know too much about villain or what to think about these two strong looking donk leads. Typically with weaker players they will minbet or bet 1/2 pot or less here and I feel comfortable either raising or floating. But against a pot sized lead on the flop I decided to peel with 2 overs and backdoor equity. A second big bullet on the turn makes me unsure if I should be flatting, raising, or folding here after picking up lots of outs.
The flop is very dry so it's doubtful he is leading with a draw or called with 65s pre-flop. He could have a slowplayed overpair or overplaying a T here with AT/JT/T9. He could also have 33/44/TT but leading strong with these hands especially on a dry board is rare. I don't think he will fold JJ+ if I raise but he might fold something like JTs/T9s.
Thoughts?
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