$50HUNL - weirdish river spot
Posted by Marrek
Posted by
Marrek
posted in
Low Stakes
$50HUNL - weirdish river spot
SB: $60.14 (Hero)
BB: $50.50
BB: $50.50
Villan is loose aggro pf and post-flop over ~ 60 hands. 3B 20%, calls 40% from the bb. FvsCB 47%. X/R flop 10%. WTSD 21%, passive stats on flop and river, aggro on the turn.
Preflop
($0.75)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
T
Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $0.75
Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $0.75
Flop
($2.75)
9
7
A
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $1.75,
BB calls $1.75
Turn
($6.25)
9
7
A
J
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $4.25,
BB raises to $13.50,
Hero calls $9.25
I think I have to call the turn. I need 28% to call while i have 9nut outs, and 9 other semi-nut outs. I give him a slowplayed 77, or T8, J7 and J9 for value. He can't have QThh.
I don't expect him to shove the river thin'ish, = i'll realzie any equity i actually have... so easy call and very few tough river spots.
I don't expect him to shove the river thin'ish, = i'll realzie any equity i actually have... so easy call and very few tough river spots.
River
($33.25)
9
7
A
J
T
(2 Players)
BB checks
wow. So i'd bluff shove this river 100% if i didn't hit 2 pair. I expect everything but an 8 or better to fold vs a shove here.
Effective stacks are exactly a pot sized bet.
Can i value bet here? make it $10 and hope for J9/J7 to call? is it worth it?
Thoughts on anything?
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