50 NL turned AA into bluff on the river
Posted by Michael Schlegel
Posted by
Michael Schlegel
posted in
Low Stakes
50 NL turned AA into bluff on the river
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
UTG: $124.57 (249.1 bb)
MP: $50.55 (101.1 bb)
CO: $78.43 (156.9 bb)
BTN: $48 (96 bb)
Hero (SB): $72.48 (145 bb)
BB: $36.93 (73.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Ah As
UTG raises to $1.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $6, BB folds, UTG calls $4.25
Flop: ($12.50) 8d 3c 8c (2 players)
Hero bets $7, UTG calls $7
Turn: ($26.50) Tc (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks
River: ($26.50) Kc (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $15, Hero raises to $59.48,
UTG is 26/18 over 776 hands 40% fold to 3b
We have a decent amount of history and we 3b/4b each other more than any other player at our tables
I'm definitely seen as a TAG overall probably with something like 20/18 and 7% 3b but again that is different vs this specific opponent. He also loves to float flops IP vs me which as led me to increase my 2barr frequency which in most cases gets a fold from him.
On the flop I would have preferred something closer to 8.50 then my 7 but at the time decided on 7 since the board was so dry.
Turn I didn't bet because I felt as though I get a lot of folds as it should appear as very strong and the hands that he will call the turn with I felt he'd also bet when I check. My plan was the x/shove the turn since it can look really bluffy and I could get called by several worse pairs.
On the river I think that betting is out of the question. I also hate x/calling here since I can't see him turning pairs into bluffs or getting to the river with complete air which leaves x/shoving and x/folding. The only hands that I could see having the Ac are AcKx and AcQx. I can't imagine him flatting UTG w AcJx or worse although slightly possible since we are a bit deeper. Its probably a stretch to believe that I could get him to fold the Ac but I don't think that it is impossible since people rarely x/shove on the river as a bluff in these games and my image postflop is solid even vs this guy. Because of his super narrow b/calling range I hate folding. Thoughts?
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