2NL spot - Donk flop w/ 2p on river
Posted by Tdogger88
Posted by Tdogger88 posted in Low Stakes
2NL spot - Donk flop w/ 2p on river
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (4 Players)
BB: $2.07
CO: $0.84
BN: $2.00
SB: $2.98 (Hero)
CO: $0.84
BN: $2.00
SB: $2.98 (Hero)
BN on his first orbit, auto-rebuy is on. Has not gotten out of line (albeit within 5 hands).
Preflop
($0.03)
Hero is SB with
J
K
, , ,
Flop
($0.14)
2
J
9
,
I'm not a fan of donk betting in most cases but here I thought it was worth it. It would only have to work 36% of the time and I still have equity when called (Ax with Ah, with JT, QJ sometimes too). Sure I'll get raised occasionally but on a board this wet I'm not expecting BN to bluff raise an unknown player so I'd be alright with folding.
Turn
($0.30)
2
J
9
K
, ,
At this point I figure I'm either way ahead or way behind. I think check/call is best here because betting will likely get rid of all that hands that I got value from on the flop, several of which will bet here as my check looks like I bluffed the flop and gave up when I was called.
River
($0.66)
2
J
9
K
5
,
So here we are. The nuts is in his range for sure, same with QT but I think there are a decent amount of bluffs here too. Plenty of stuff that knows it can't win with showdown, so checking isn't a great option. Getting almost 2.5:1 so I need to win 37% of the time. Thoughts?
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