25z KQo facing huge overbet OTR
Posted by 1BuckPlease
Posted by 1BuckPlease posted in Low Stakes
25z KQo facing huge overbet OTR
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $40.23
SB: $25.60
BB: $60.33
UTG: $26.39
MP: $26.23
CO: $38.43 (Hero)
SB: $25.60
BB: $60.33
UTG: $26.39
MP: $26.23
CO: $38.43 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
K
Q
, , ,
Flop
($1.60)
J
Q
5
,
Turn
($1.60)
J
Q
5
8
,
River
($4.66)
J
Q
5
8
Q
,
V is unknown, first hand vs him.
I was thinking a lot OTR, my time bank was on 1 sec when I called. After his pot turn, I just couldn't exclude busted draws and saw enough Qx, like QsTs, Qs9s and ruined J8. Against a wider range (if I add some randomness: TT-88,55,KJs,QTs-Q9s,Q5s,T9s,KJo,Q8o+,T9o) I got 52%
If I leave only Qx, and boats (88,55,QTs-Q9s,Q5s,Q8o+) my call is breakeven (42% and the potodds is 42% too).
I grinded almost 70k hands at nl25z, and I just cannot say that I have never seen so many ridicoulus showdowns in these situations. What's your thoughts? Should we fold this one against unknown?
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