200z AKs deep with bad run out vs a good reg line check

Posted by

Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200z AKs deep with bad run out vs a good reg line check

BN: $347.68 (Hero)
SB: $1233.09
BB: $100
UTG: $208
HJ: $415.09
CO: $404.15
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $4.80, SB raises to $17, BB folds, Hero raises to $45.88, SB calls $28.88
Flop ($99.56) K T 6 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $46.88, SB calls $46.88
Turn ($193.32) K T 6 9 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River ($193.32) K T 6 9 Q (2 Players)
SB bets $97.90, Hero folds
Final Pot
SB wins $184.72

villain is a decent reg who recently moved up from 100z and has been adapting very well.

He is running 27/22 with 8.6% 3bet.  His 3bet from SB is 10% while vs btn open is 12.4%, not that high at the moment probably due that I only have 3.5k hands on him, but I definitely felt has SB 3b vs btn open has increased quite significantly. 

He like to call lot of flops and turn Oop, but folding majority of rivers.  calls 41/63/17

Hero's image is pretty laggish, likes to 3b/hood a lot both OOP and IP, I'd my 4bet is that high, around 10-10.5%. and my barrelling stats is on the lower side but pretty even,  like 46/45/45

Pre I think either flat or 4bet is fine. maybe 4bet with AKo and flat AKs would be better, but villain only folds to 45%ish of 4bet so I think it should be 4bet for value and let him flat SC or Suited broadway which we do well against.  But probably should have made the 4bet a bit larger, like 48-54ish.

Flop looks pretty action heavy and I was sure he would definitely peel at least once with most of his range, stuff like KJ/KQ/98s/JTs,QTs,78s,QJs,AJ/AQ,T9s etc. sizing wise could for a bit bigger to make this a two street game but that isn't necessary. 

Turn is really good for his range but it also gives us more outs so I decided to check back. I'm very curiously of how should we precede on this turn with

1:AA

2:AKo/AKs but not spade

3:KK

and river just sucks and good for him if he is bluffing with AQ. 


thoughts on the hands?

Loading 3 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy