200NL - GTO calling frequency vs. river donk overbet shove

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200NL - GTO calling frequency vs. river donk overbet shove

BB: Big Blind: $227
SB: Mushmellow: $200
Villain unknown.
Preflop ($3.00) (2 Players)
Mushmellow was dealt A J
Mushmellow raises to $6, Big Blind calls $4
Standard open.
Flop ($13.00) 9 A Q (2 Players)
Big Blind checks, Mushmellow bets $9, Big Blind calls $9
Cbet. I bet 9 into $11.50. Hand converter messed up here. Villain snap calls here.
Turn ($31.00) 9 A Q 5 (2 Players)
Big Blind checks, Mushmellow bets $25, Big Blind calls $25
Turn I bet $25 into $30. Villain snap calls turn.
River ($81.00) 9 A Q 5 J (2 Players)
Big Blind bets $187, and is all in, Mushmellow folds
Villain snap donk shoves river.

2 Questions:

1. We are getting laid pot odds of 40%. Can someone help me come up with a range of hands that I double barrel in this spot that game theory says I should be calling in this spot?

2. Based on the timing information, what exploitative play will you guys choose to make?
Final Pot

Without going to much into my ranges we can assume that I'll be double barreling here with all my flush draws, 99, AA, QQ, AQ, Q9, A9, A5, and all Ax. I have KTs and KTd in my range, but lets assume I check back the other two KT combos OTF. These are the value combos. For bluffs, assume I open 100% of my buttons and balance my bluffs well.


Hope this can spur some interesting discussion! :)

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