Theory: cbetting OOP on semi wet flops

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Theory: cbetting OOP on semi wet flops

UTG2: OMGNKOTB: 47.39
LJ: on1y1herbie: 45.90
HJ: borisTYGR: 33.70
CO: gill01: 6.39
BN: M4sterMinded: 18.32
SB: iGanador: 14.74
BB: xTrueTillDeath: 35.74
UTG: : 0
UTG1: 7 players post ante of 0.14: 0
Flop (1.50) (9 Players)
OMGNKOTB raises to 2, folds, borisTYGR calls 2, OMGNKOTB folds, on1y1herbie folds, borisTYGR folds, gill01 folds, OMGNKOTB bets 4, borisTYGR calls 4
Flop Jc7d2c (6.5bb)

Turn Tc (14.5bb)

So we are late in a typically MTT, before any major ICM implications.  When we open UTG we are going to have a tight range.  I think that my PFR range is about 20% of hands with antes (would probably be tighter if I was getting 3b more but I feel in the micros we get flatted more than 3b so I add some suited connectors).

So with this range this is some stuff that I plug with flopzilla.  Our value/semi bluff part of our range makes up about 36% of hands, ace high hands about as much also.  

In theory how much of our air should we be cbetting on these boards? Is this 36% of hands too much to cbet?  Should we remove some of the weaker hands?  I believe that we should be cbetting bigger on this board texture since we will likely be floated.

On the turn I feel like a lot of our range will still be one pair type hands

What would be our plan on turns?  2-T non clubs do we take a check call line to get value from floats?  A nd K seem like great barrel cards for our range again since we will have a good mix of Ax hands and one pair hands in our cbet range.  

 

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