Open fold our flopped flush in sunday warmup?
Posted by rabbhit
Posted by rabbhit posted in High Stakes
Open fold our flopped flush in sunday warmup?
No real reads more then that SB felt really solid and no real reads on the others.
Poker Stars, $200 Buy-in (600/1,200 blinds, 120 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #33816481
UTG+1: 33,552 (28 bb)
UTG+2: 13,304 (11.1 bb)
MP1: 31,846 (26.5 bb)
MP2: 28,950 (24.1 bb)
MP3: 78,484 (65.4 bb)
CO: 6,820 (5.7 bb)
BTN: 35,344 (29.5 bb)
SB: 55,114 (45.9 bb)
Hero (BB): 35,156 (29.3 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 7h6h
3 folds, MP2 raises to 2,400, 2 folds, BTN calls 2,400, SB calls 1,800, Hero calls 1,200
Flop: (10,680) 4h9hJh (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP2 bets 6,340, BTN folds, SB calls 6,340, HERO ?????????
I had a hard time making up the correct play here between a call, shove or fold. The good thing with calling is it reduces variance against Ax hands with A of hearts. If a heart comes on the turn we are done with the hand. The problem with calling is that SB will likely check turn and so will MP if he doesn't have a flush so we will have to donk to get money in on the turn or otherwise we will give a free card, which will turn our hand face up. If we had position I think a call is as good as shoving.
I tanked for some time, can't remember if it was all that long but I just had a feeling that SB was trapping with a big flush. I went over his range and came to the conclusion that he never has AA KK QQ or JJ in this spot. Possible sets are 99 and 44 but I would expect a raise from a set here when button has already folded out. I would expect hands like AhKx and AhQx with A of hearts to 3bet pre and AhJx to raise flop. The only 2 pair combo is J9, dunno what I would exepct from him with that but a call is not unlikely. That leaves it with a few combinations of AhXx and made flushes.
I was leaning very heavily to him having a flush here. Posted the hand on another forum and got the answer standard shove.
What do you think? Am I overleveling myself in this handreading spot and should just close my eyes and shove or what? Any thoughts is welcome. Did I miss out on possible holdings on SB?
I'm not worried about MP because his range remains the same and if he has flopped a flush so be it, it's SB that I'm worried about in this spot.
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