Final 2 tables 33R
Posted by Espen Sørlie
Posted by Espen Sørlie posted in Mid Stakes
Final 2 tables 33R
BB: ArielBahia: 132638
UTG: Fellini33: 77300
HJ: sh4wshank: 120103
CO: salaliitto: 149653
BN: GoToCa$hier: 136311
SB: rickwaa: 61974
UTG: Fellini33: 77300
HJ: sh4wshank: 120103
CO: salaliitto: 149653
BN: GoToCa$hier: 136311
SB: rickwaa: 61974
A very tough field remaining, I think it was 10-12/12 regs left. Don't know too much about our opponent other than him being a pretty massive winner.
Preflop
(4500)
(6 Players)
sh4wshank was dealt
J
T
Fellini33 folds, sh4wshank raises to 6000, salaliitto folds, GoToCa$hier folds, rickwaa folds, ArielBahia calls 3000
Fellini33 folds, sh4wshank raises to 6000, salaliitto folds, GoToCa$hier folds, rickwaa folds, ArielBahia calls 3000
Not much to say pre, we expect his range to be reasonably wide here. Don't expect him to 3b all too wide since we have no history and he has somewhat nitty stats in my hud.
Flop
(13500)
T
9
J
(2 Players)
ArielBahia checks,
sh4wshank bets 8500,
ArielBahia raises to 23550,
sh4wshank calls 15050
We are already somewhat worried about the obvious QK for a flopped straight. Pretty standard call tho in my opinion. Getting it in even against a combodraw here is pretty bad close to the ft bubble.
Turn
(60600)
T
9
J
6
(2 Players)
ArielBahia bets 33450,
sh4wshank calls 33450
We have around 90k and I think jamming is an option. Doubt he is folding very much at all but I think we can do better against his draws by calling and evaluating different rivers. We might also be able to see a check check if it is a scary one when he does have QK. Remember that the cEV we gain here are worth less than the ones we can lose bec of icm. One advantage to jamming is that we almost certainly get it in against very dominated hands like T9 and J9 that can fold some rivers. Thoughts appreciated.
River
(127500)
T
9
J
6
A
(2 Players)
ArielBahia bets 69338, and is all in,
sh4wshank calls 56803, and is all in
Another point of the hand that I am unsure about. He snapjams. Like within 1/2second snapjammed. At the time I took that as a tell he didn't have QK, because people usually take some seconds with the nuts. It is a weakish read but I removed some combos of QK in my head. I think his valuerange should be only straights and sets here. Sets being somewhat unlikely since he flatted pre. Do we think he shows up with enough draws, combodraws, bluffs and random diamonds to call here with the price we are getting and the read? I tanked for a long time and ended up saying yes to that. If he has any kind of Qxdd I think he plays it like this, same with random 8x that are not strong enough to c/c flop. I am way more likely to have 1pair+draw than him, because I feel like most of the time he c/c flop with it.
I guess you can start counting combos but there are many uncertainties about how many we will find of each given the action.
I guess you can start counting combos but there are many uncertainties about how many we will find of each given the action.
Final Pot
ArielBahia has
T
J
sh4wshank has
J
T
ArielBahia
wins 121453
,
sh4wshank
wins 121453
His actual hand surprised me. Valuejamming JT seems way to optimistic in his shoes, because my range is still uncapped and JT was probably the bottom of my calling range there. If he wants to put it in otr, c/c seems better to get me to bluffjam Qx, XXdd, Q9, QT, 9xdd, 8xdd etc.
Main questions here will be if you jam turn and if you call it off otr given reads and the rest of my ramblings.
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