Exploitative-Based Hand Analysis
Posted by Sean Lefort
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You solved my problem in similar spot.
thanks
maybe you could enhance resolution of video, I cannot watch HUD :)
you mentioned that you will MR v 28% 3B guys unless deep - what is the 3B threshold at which you feel it important to MR on 100bb?
is the just under 1/2 pot turn bet you standard bit size in this spot on all boards/stack sizes?
@100bb, if someone is 3betting 25%+ then they need to be playing pretty poorly in those pots (ie. are noticeably exploitable in some way) for me to want to 3x vs. MR. If they're sub-20%, I like to get a feel for how they're playing and will sometimes switch up MR/3x and look for how they adjust. Ie. if against MR they seem to defend appropriately but against 3x they don't really adjust and don't play all that well in SRPs OOP, it makes sense to 3x.
The just under 1/2pot turn bet was discussed as an exploitative-based sizing for the situation and my specific hand. I think i'll likely have two bet-sizes in that scenario, another one that allows for a river jam. The larger one will be more polarized in a sense, while also containing the more vulnerable value hands.
more like your HUNLH preflop video
how to play a good 3B/4B/5B game - that is ranges and frequencies that are close to GTO for 3B or calling - ranges and frequencies for calling 3B or 4Bing
approach to CB game
leading vs XC/XF/XR
i learn really well when i have a basic strategy or mental template for how i plan to play. i feel like once i have that in place i can adjust to different player types
as i write more i realize i want a how to play HUNLH foundational series for the 6m guy with detailed analysis
since this video mentioned CREV and equity realization - i would like to hear more about how to best set up the equity realization used in the check down feature?
Keep up the good work Sean.
Really interesting spot! I have a comment with regards to our "15 very clean outs":
Out of the 9 cards that make a flush, 9d and 3d potentially give him a full house. If river is a T or 5, villain should actually be check/folding his sets, 2pairs and overpairs (especially on Td or 5d). When we make a straight and he bets, we should be expecting to split the pot most of the time.
Here is how I would view all potential rivers:
8 cards that make the nuts & kill our action
5 cards that make the nuts without killing our action
2 cards that make semi nuts & don't kill our action
3 cards that make a decent bluff catcher & don't kill our action
43 cards where we have to fold to a bet & can't bet if checked to & very rarely win a checkdown
That's a total of 7 river cards that are really good for us. The fact that our opponent is more likely to check/fold rivers that complete our draws should weigh down on calling and lift jam as an option. I don't have an opinion which is better, just thought this was missing from the analysis.
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