At 22.40 you bluf big on river with low 2pair after repping nuts on turn on 5c7cAh3h9s
I think that you will get more credit for a straight on the river with a smaller bet size maybe around 60-70% pot. 75%+ looks more like nuts or nothing. If you had nuts on turn I dont think you wil have the nuts on the river more than like maybe 20% maybe a bit more. And i dont think it makes sense to bet big on the river with nuts.
At 3.10 you isolate on db with 5jjas third in and cal a bet in pos hu. I think the ISO questionable, you build a pot with a hand that rarely have the nuts, and you a likely to see the flop multiway.
After you call the 3bet I think he will have what he had(AAxx) atleast 75% of the time(atleast many regs with a non high 3bet% will) So given that the the turn and river is unlikely to improve any of you I think I would give up on turn or river a alot without a read. I also think that your flop bet size might be to big (I woul prefer to have atleast a 70% of the pot left on the river if I want to bluff.
I totally agree with you on first one that a smaller size probably is better and makes more sense the way the hand played out.
Yes indeed questionable, but i think its alright. i agree with betsize might being too big otf, but i dont think his range is strong at all here when he c/c the flop so i often barrel again on the turn here if it bricks and obv if my blockers comes into play.
I really like this review format. Especially your explanations on river decisions - when to turn hands with SD value into bluffs - gave me valuable food for thought. Liked the hand selection better than in your first video.
Please, in future vids in case you made a decision stat (HUD) based, mention the stat that helped you made your decision.
Actually, ive been playing without HUD for a while now and never really used it much. I def think its good using one, but i just felt like i havnt need it for a while so just been using HM to keep track of results and get graphs.
Hey Robin! I think you should start thinking more about your opponents when making these big decisions... after this video I feel like that many times you just keep betting big because it looks so strong... Yes it might look strong and your range might crush the opponents range but many times all of that doesnt really matter that much. Some people just dont fold enough for whatever reasons...
In the last hand(AT84) the river is very easy checkbehind if villain checks river. You have enough showdown value. When villain leads I don't like raising especially after villain bets so small... I feel that in this kind of spots when peoples ranges are face up and they bet small and get raised they just dont like to fold. Also often times when you see these kind of leads when the river doesnt change the nuts it means that the player might be fishy. That makes me really not want to bluffraise the river.. I think if he has trips he is not folding and many times you'll see that people dont even fold something like AAxx here for you if they play it this way. They dont care if you look strong and represent a fullhouse.. they just call because they have trips :D.
First hand KT75hh. I don't really love the river bluff. Again I just think that people will end up calling too often even though yes it looks quite credible if you have some history and villain knows that you are not a terrible player. Without any history between you 2 I really dislike this play. To me villain smells already a bit fishy when he goes ahead and cbets pot on K63 rainbow. Also it is a spot where against good players I'd go for a checkraise with the nuts if I had them and could also checkraise bluff if I wanted to. This way we can get a bluff out of him and he could valuebet worse hands.
AJJ5 hand: If I wanted to fight for this pot I'd start by betting smaller on the flop so that it would leave me more room for later streets. In this hand I think I would not bet the river with so little behind... people just dont like folding. JTxx missed so thats probably enough reason for them to call.
AKKQds.
Again I really dislike your river bluffraise. Villains will be valuebetting all of their fullhouses in this spot and I think they are not gonna fold any fullhouse to your jam after you check behind the flop even though again you are repping strong... Also villains should have quite easy valuebet here with any str8 so those are the main hands that you are aiming to get to fold and I'm not quite sure how well that is going to end working either after you checkback the flop :D. Also one thing to point out is that there is definetely some people that arent even valuebetting straights here so... I would just fold. I think calling would be bad against this sizing by villain without any reads.
KQQ9:
I'd go ahead and raise the flop especially after the BTN just calls. You have almost 45% against a set and against a few combinations you'll be in rough shape but for the most parts you are well ahead of their ranges. Also when you see the turn and the river 3-way it is kind of hard to extract value if you just call and do hit. Against most player if you get reraised big on the flop you can be quite sure that you are up against a set and can play the turn perfectly by calling and folding if the board pairs. But doing that you must be very very careful that you read their range correctly. Against some players it would be a big mistake to fold any turn card and against these kinds of players it is probably best to just get it in on the flop. Against this river sizing I would be heavily considering making an exploitative herofold and tbh I would have folded readless. Nice catch!
KJT2:
If you do play the flop like that I would not be continuing bluffing on many turns.. This turn card happens to be one of those that I would have continued on though against some players. You said that that the 2c doesnt really matter because you are repping J7+ but it is actually quite relevant because you now have a fullhouse draw with J2xx and it gives you some equity which is relevant. Also it is card that shouldn't boat him up so it is a good card to bluff. Again you say that you are repping J7+ but I think many people at these stakes dont see it that way and would autocall the turn for exampe with 72xx if they turned a boat. They might think that you reraise the flop with nutfd and now you are valueshoving :). If you play against a spewy opponent who is raising you a ton in these paired boards then you probably would want to start checking with these kinds of holdings. Also exploitatively readless I'd 3bet smaller on the flop as a bluff and bigger as value.
QQ97:
Well played and I do agree with you 100% with the read on the turn sizingtell. Good job!
9766:
Hmm yeah I guess this is wp readless. The river is quite close though because we do beat some hands and people are curious...
KQT9:
What do people think about checking the flop? Our hand is equity favorite on the flop against almost any range and would like the get money in. But if we bet the flop and he calls it will be akward on turns. The board is rarely gonna run out so that we are extremely confident in valuebetting 3 streets... I mean if we hit a flush it is going to be 2nd nuts and it is hard to get 3 streets... also with 9x it is hard to get much value from worse. Jx yeah we have a straight but again just 2nd nuts. By checking we give him an option to take a stab with bad hands and he probably will bet his good hands anyway and then we can checkraise and get a lot of monies in good. Also we are not worried of giving him free cards because our hand has a little bit of everything so his bad hands have a very very poor equity against as. If it checks through on the flop we can very confidently bet twice on almost every runout for value.
After watching this I'd like to remind for everyone that for the most parts it is going to be solid play that'll get you the money. And like Phil says: Sometimes it is ok to lose a pot.
Really appreciate your analysis and ive seen you play much higher stakes than me so i think its safe to say that ur thinking is a couple of levels over mine. But I agree with most of the things you say, definitly. I know that some of the plays in the video arent the best plays but thought it would be fun to bring some interesting spots up and got some discussion going so i really like your post!!
Great Video. I would love to see more of these. If you can do live video that would be great. I like your thinking on busted hands. We know that every session all the best player in world go busted one time or another. So, it's helpful for your viewer to see winning hands as well as loosing hands.
Agree with WRUUUUM you need to bet bigger on the flop. Because SPR is about 4, so if you decide to bluff is perfect to setup potting flop leaving you one potsize bet left on the turn. You can also fold if raised on the flop I think and makes the hand easy to play fwiw, as I think his bluffing range is 1-0% here.
Stop asking for live videos. It's retarded. Why would you want a lower quality analysis? What exactly do you get from a live video that you don't get from a replayer?
Poker is not that simple and you can't really study anything new from a 5 seconds comment on a hand in a live video. You can only feel good about yourself because you're "working on your game" when in reality you're just auto-piloting through a video that has very little deep analysis.
Hand replayer is good as we get to see good analysis on each hand but the problem is we only see the hand analysis our video trainer want us to see. Most of the replayer I have watched 80% of them deals with premium hands. Most of us know, how to play with premium hands.
What we need to know, how to deal with trash hand and how to use trash hand to our advantage in any particular situation like position or on particular player on the table. On live video specially MTT live video you get to see all hands the player is playing which includes trash hands.
Sometimes in position you can use your trash hand to your advantage and I hardly see those on video replayer.
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Hi Robin
At 22.40 you bluf big on river with low 2pair after repping nuts on turn on 5c7cAh3h9s
I think that you will get more credit for a straight on the river with a smaller bet size maybe around 60-70% pot. 75%+ looks more like nuts or nothing. If you had nuts on turn I dont think you wil have the nuts on the river more than like maybe 20% maybe a bit more. And i dont think it makes sense to bet big on the river with nuts.
At 3.10 you isolate on db with 5jjas third in and cal a bet in pos hu. I think the ISO questionable, you build a pot with a hand that rarely have the nuts, and you a likely to see the flop multiway.
After you call the 3bet I think he will have what he had(AAxx) atleast 75% of the time(atleast many regs with a non high 3bet% will) So given that the the turn and river is unlikely to improve any of you I think I would give up on turn or river a alot without a read. I also think that your flop bet size might be to big (I woul prefer to have atleast a 70% of the pot left on the river if I want to bluff.
Hey man!
I totally agree with you on first one that a smaller size probably is better and makes more sense the way the hand played out.
Yes indeed questionable, but i think its alright. i agree with betsize might being too big otf, but i dont think his range is strong at all here when he c/c the flop so i often barrel again on the turn here if it bricks and obv if my blockers comes into play.
thath hands where play in pokerstars? last hand, ur default bluff size is pot raise?
Yes, or close to pot, i dont think i ever raise small there whether im bluffing or having it.
nice video, by the way
Thanks man! :)
nice video. would like to se a live session from you!
Yeah, a live session would be great.
Hi,
I really like this review format. Especially your explanations on river decisions - when to turn hands with SD value into bluffs - gave me valuable food for thought. Liked the hand selection better than in your first video.
Please, in future vids in case you made a decision stat (HUD) based, mention the stat that helped you made your decision.
Ciao!
Hey!
Thanks man, appreciate it!
Actually, ive been playing without HUD for a while now and never really used it much. I def think its good using one, but i just felt like i havnt need it for a while so just been using HM to keep track of results and get graphs.
Hey Robin! I think you should start thinking more about your opponents when making these big decisions... after this video I feel like that many times you just keep betting big because it looks so strong... Yes it might look strong and your range might crush the opponents range but many times all of that doesnt really matter that much. Some people just dont fold enough for whatever reasons...
In the last hand(AT84) the river is very easy checkbehind if villain checks river. You have enough showdown value. When villain leads I don't like raising especially after villain bets so small... I feel that in this kind of spots when peoples ranges are face up and they bet small and get raised they just dont like to fold. Also often times when you see these kind of leads when the river doesnt change the nuts it means that the player might be fishy. That makes me really not want to bluffraise the river.. I think if he has trips he is not folding and many times you'll see that people dont even fold something like AAxx here for you if they play it this way. They dont care if you look strong and represent a fullhouse.. they just call because they have trips :D.
First hand KT75hh. I don't really love the river bluff. Again I just think that people will end up calling too often even though yes it looks quite credible if you have some history and villain knows that you are not a terrible player. Without any history between you 2 I really dislike this play. To me villain smells already a bit fishy when he goes ahead and cbets pot on K63 rainbow. Also it is a spot where against good players I'd go for a checkraise with the nuts if I had them and could also checkraise bluff if I wanted to. This way we can get a bluff out of him and he could valuebet worse hands.
AJJ5 hand: If I wanted to fight for this pot I'd start by betting smaller on the flop so that it would leave me more room for later streets. In this hand I think I would not bet the river with so little behind... people just dont like folding. JTxx missed so thats probably enough reason for them to call.
AKKQds.
Again I really dislike your river bluffraise. Villains will be valuebetting all of their fullhouses in this spot and I think they are not gonna fold any fullhouse to your jam after you check behind the flop even though again you are repping strong... Also villains should have quite easy valuebet here with any str8 so those are the main hands that you are aiming to get to fold and I'm not quite sure how well that is going to end working either after you checkback the flop :D. Also one thing to point out is that there is definetely some people that arent even valuebetting straights here so... I would just fold. I think calling would be bad against this sizing by villain without any reads.
KQQ9:
I'd go ahead and raise the flop especially after the BTN just calls. You have almost 45% against a set and against a few combinations you'll be in rough shape but for the most parts you are well ahead of their ranges. Also when you see the turn and the river 3-way it is kind of hard to extract value if you just call and do hit. Against most player if you get reraised big on the flop you can be quite sure that you are up against a set and can play the turn perfectly by calling and folding if the board pairs. But doing that you must be very very careful that you read their range correctly. Against some players it would be a big mistake to fold any turn card and against these kinds of players it is probably best to just get it in on the flop. Against this river sizing I would be heavily considering making an exploitative herofold and tbh I would have folded readless. Nice catch!
KJT2:
If you do play the flop like that I would not be continuing bluffing on many turns.. This turn card happens to be one of those that I would have continued on though against some players. You said that that the 2c doesnt really matter because you are repping J7+ but it is actually quite relevant because you now have a fullhouse draw with J2xx and it gives you some equity which is relevant. Also it is card that shouldn't boat him up so it is a good card to bluff. Again you say that you are repping J7+ but I think many people at these stakes dont see it that way and would autocall the turn for exampe with 72xx if they turned a boat. They might think that you reraise the flop with nutfd and now you are valueshoving :). If you play against a spewy opponent who is raising you a ton in these paired boards then you probably would want to start checking with these kinds of holdings. Also exploitatively readless I'd 3bet smaller on the flop as a bluff and bigger as value.
QQ97:
Well played and I do agree with you 100% with the read on the turn sizingtell. Good job!
9766:
Hmm yeah I guess this is wp readless. The river is quite close though because we do beat some hands and people are curious...
KQT9:
What do people think about checking the flop? Our hand is equity favorite on the flop against almost any range and would like the get money in. But if we bet the flop and he calls it will be akward on turns. The board is rarely gonna run out so that we are extremely confident in valuebetting 3 streets... I mean if we hit a flush it is going to be 2nd nuts and it is hard to get 3 streets... also with 9x it is hard to get much value from worse. Jx yeah we have a straight but again just 2nd nuts. By checking we give him an option to take a stab with bad hands and he probably will bet his good hands anyway and then we can checkraise and get a lot of monies in good. Also we are not worried of giving him free cards because our hand has a little bit of everything so his bad hands have a very very poor equity against as. If it checks through on the flop we can very confidently bet twice on almost every runout for value.
After watching this I'd like to remind for everyone that for the most parts it is going to be solid play that'll get you the money. And like Phil says: Sometimes it is ok to lose a pot.Hey man!
Really appreciate your analysis and ive seen you play much higher stakes than me so i think its safe to say that ur thinking is a couple of levels over mine. But I agree with most of the things you say, definitly. I know that some of the plays in the video arent the best plays but thought it would be fun to bring some interesting spots up and got some discussion going so i really like your post!!
Nice comment WRUUM, i'm agree with your analysis
Great Video. I would love to see more of these. If you can do live video that would be great. I like your thinking on busted hands. We know that every session all the best player in world go busted one time or another. So, it's helpful for your viewer to see winning hands as well as loosing hands.
Thanks for your hand analysis.
Thank you!! Since it seems like a live sweat vid is what most ppl wanna see i will try to do that for my next vid! :)

Agree with WRUUUUM you need to bet bigger on the flop. Because SPR is about 4, so if you decide to bluff is perfect to setup potting flop leaving you one potsize bet left on the turn. You can also fold if raised on the flop I think and makes the hand easy to play fwiw, as I think his bluffing range is 1-0% here.Thoughs?
Thx in advance
Stop asking for live videos. It's retarded. Why would you want a lower quality analysis? What exactly do you get from a live video that you don't get from a replayer?
Poker is not that simple and you can't really study anything new from a 5 seconds comment on a hand in a live video. You can only feel good about yourself because you're "working on your game" when in reality you're just auto-piloting through a video that has very little deep analysis.
Hand replayer is good as we get to see good analysis on each hand but the problem is we only see the hand analysis our video trainer want us to see. Most of the replayer I have watched 80% of them deals with premium hands. Most of us know, how to play with premium hands.
What we need to know, how to deal with trash hand and how to use trash hand to our advantage in any particular situation like position or on particular player on the table. On live video specially MTT live video you get to see all hands the player is playing which includes trash hands.
Sometimes in position you can use your trash hand to your advantage and I hardly see those on video replayer.
Nice video, would like to see you do an analysis in pokerjuice, looking at a tough spot from you session lately?
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